šŸ’¦ Citi cuts

And Apple is dethroned

Motley Fool

Hey there weekday warriors,

The good news is there are no more NFL playoff games on Peacock this season. The bad news? The event was the most-streamed live event in US history and set records for internet usage. Which means every streamer is about to bid on any NFL game they can getā€¦

Hereā€™s what else weā€™re getting into todayā€¦

  • Big banks disappoint

  • BlackRockā€™s new toy

  • Bad Apple

Enjoy the next 4 minutes and 16 seconds of blue-chip news and commentary.

Keep on snapping necks and cashing checks,

Markets

+ US stocks ā€œclosed barely changed on Friday, after wavering between modest gains and losses, as mixed bank earnings offset cooler-than-expected inflation news that buoyed hopes for interest-rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.ā€ [NOTE: markets were closed Monday] (Reuters)

+ The 10-year Treasury yield ended ā€œlower on Friday after Decemberā€™s producer prices report pointed to the likelihood of a continued drop in inflation." (MarketWatch)

+ Oil ā€œweakened slightly on Monday as the Middle East conflict's limited impact on crude output prompted profit taking after oil benchmarks gained 2% last week.ā€ [NOTE: Brent reflects prices from yesterday because those heathens in the UK donā€™t celebrate MLK Day, while WTI reflects Fridayā€™s settlement] (Reuters)

+ Bitcoin prices ā€œwere falling on Monday. The initial wave of buying after the approval of exchange-traded funds tied to spot trading of Bitcoin looks to have been exhausted.ā€ (Barronā€™s)

+ The three most talked about stocks on WallStreetBets in the past 24 hours were: 1) Tesla -3.67% 2) Nvidia -0.20% 3) C3.ai -4.20%.

ā€œOMG, that was one timeā€

(Source: Giphy)

- big bank CEOs

Earnings season kicked off on Friday (ā€¦which was perfect because it gave Citi workers an extra day to apply for jobs).

And JPMorgan, Citi, Wells, and B of A all got a taste of their own medicine. During the final quarter of 2023 they were all hit with big, fat, veiny fees. JPMorgan, Citi, Wells, and BofA ponied up $2.9B, $1.7B, $1.9B, and $2.1B to the FDIC, respectively. Thanks a lot, Silicon Valley Bank.

Individually they all had to deal with different types of, but equally girthy, one-time charges. Like Wellsā€™ $969M severance expenseā€¦

ā€œChildā€™s play.ā€ - Citi CEO Jane Fraser

Citi sat atop the league tables for one-time charges. And it wasnā€™t particularly close.

Things were so bad that Citi decided to pre-announce the $4.6B hit to its bottom line (and its quarterly loss) last week.

The bank faced a perfect sh*storm. In addition to cutting a PCH-sized check to the FDIC, it took a nearly $1B charge related to Argentine peso devaluation. Plus, it needed to add $1.3B to its reserves thanks to exposure to Argentina and Russia. And, letā€™s not forget about the restructuring charge of $780M, because, you know, ā€œProject Bora Bora.ā€

Speaking of Project Bora Boraā€¦

It appears that the only thing Citi CEO Jane Fraser likes more than the Four Seasons in French Polynesia is forcing employees to move back in with their parents. Citiā€™s CFO said the bank is laying off ~20k employees in the ā€œmedium termā€ā€¦ whatever that means.

Thatā€™s ~10% of the bankā€™s workforce. So, yeah, those restructuring charges arenā€™t going to be ā€œone time.ā€ The bank expects roughly $1B in severance expenses related to the ā€œchanges.ā€

The good news is the layoffs werenā€™t totally unexpected. Mostly because they have already begun. The only real question is when will we start getting more videos like the viral Cloudflare layoff TikTok?

Zoom out

Overall, Friday was a pretty brutal day for bank stocks. Interestingly, Citi was the only one that closed up. All four reported drops in profit and warned about potential credit losses and net interest income getting squeezed.

Picture thisā€¦

The year is 2012.

Facebook just went public.

The New York Giants are the reigning Super Bowl champs.

And The Motley Fool just recommended a little-known EV stock called Tesla.

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STB

+ In a ā€˜lostā€™ interview, Jeff Bezos revealed why he chose books as the ā€˜best productā€™ to sell on Amazon (Read)

+ US residents must make this much to afford a home in 2024, realtor claims: ā€˜The old American dream diedā€™ (Read)

+ The 5 levels of financial freedom, according to money coaches, who say theyā€™ve reached level 3 (Read)

+ ICYMI... Costco makes big food court change with new cookies (Read)

TS

+ *Puts on tinfoil hat* First they came for our neighborhoods (Because how else would you explain this blog post about how BlackRock definitely, 100%, totally, are in no way shape or form buying up every house in America?)ā€¦ now they want our sewage treatment facilities.

BlackRock said on Friday that it paid $12.5B for PE shop Global Infrastructure Partners. As you might have guessed, GIP invests in stuff like airports, wastewater treatment facilities, and digital infrastructure.

The massive asset manager also announced a yuge earnings beat. Because what else would you expect from these puppet masters? (Read)

+ RIP Tim Appleā€¦

Heā€™s not dead or anything, but he will forever be remembered as the Apple CEO that allowed MSFT to make them their b*tch. At Fridayā€™s close, Appleā€™s market cap sat at a measly $2.87T. Meanwhile, OpeanAI Microsoft closed with a $2.89T valuation. Thatā€™s the first time in a year that Apple has lost its crown as the worldā€™s most valuable company.

Apple has been getting rekt by analystsā€™ downgrades that remind investors every few days that the iPhone is about to go the way of the BlackBerry. Shares are down ~6% in the past month.

While Apple was busy getting curb stomped, Microsoft was milking Sam Altman for every drop of shareholder value they could squeeze out of him. AI innovations have continued to drive the stock higher. (Read)

+ You might have had a good weekend, but you definitely didnā€™t have a better weekend than the CEOs of Raytheon and Lockheed Martin. Thatā€™s because some Houthi rebels decided to strike a US-owned ship in the Red Sea. Thatā€™s just a day after the terror group fired a missile at a US destroyer. Someone is about to find out why we donā€™t have free healthcare in the USā€¦ (Read)

+ No one man should have all that powerā€¦ unless, of course, he threatens to ā€œbuild products outside of Tesla.ā€ Yesterday, Elon said on Twitter that he wants 25% voting control over Tesla in his new comp plan. Currently, he has about half of that. He followed that up with a not-so-subtle threat: ā€œUnless that is the case, I would prefer to build products outside of Tesla." (Read)

FWD

Here's what I'm keeping an eye on today...

+ Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, PNC, and Interactive Brokers report

+ Monster Energy holds its investor meetingā€¦ which is a bucket list item for me

+ Donā€™t forget to eat your bugsā€¦ the World Economic Forum gets underway in Davos

EXIT

Yesterday I asked Name a random NFL player.

The most popular answer wasā€¦ wait for itā€¦ Michael Vick. And I am 0% surprised.

Hereā€™s todayā€™s questionā€¦

Iā€™ve tried multiple times to watch the viral Cloudflare layoff video. And I cannot get through it all. Just brutal. Soā€¦

Who is the worst person in the viral Cloudflare layoff video? (Brittany? HR?)

Reply directly to this email and Iā€™ll share the results tomorrow.

Oh, and two more thingsā€¦

Did you check out todayā€™s ad partner The Motley Fool?

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FINE

Does this look like the face of a guy you should take financial advice from?

No, itā€™s the face of an individual who is financially irresponsible/dumb enough to be talked into spending money on a family photo shoot that he could have just done with his iPhone. So, act accordingly...

This is not financial advice. Nothing in this newsletter is an investment recommendation. All content is created for entertainment, educational, or informational purposes only. Do your own research, or do yourself a favor and hire a professional