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- đŚ GoodbyeFresh
đŚ GoodbyeFresh
And February jobs report
Hey there weekday warriors,
Good news⌠after selling more than $100M worth of gold bars, Costco is diversifying. Now, you can buy silver on its website.
You know what you canât buy? BitcoinâŚ
Hereâs what else weâre getting into todayâŚ
Say goodbye to Hello Fresh
February jobs data
Wegovyâs got a new trick
Enjoy the next 4 minutes and 3 seconds of blue-chip news and commentary.
Keep on snapping necks and cashing checks,

+ US stocks âretreated on Friday, closing out a turbulent week as Nvidiaâs incredible run took a breather.â (CNBC)
+ The 10-year Treasury yield âwas near flat on Friday after the February jobs report showed solid employment growth but also an increase in the unemployment rate." (CNBC)
+ Oil prices âclosed 1% lower on Friday and fell even more for the week as markets remained wary of soft Chinese demand even as producer group OPEC+ extended supply cuts.â (Reuters)
+ Bitcoin flirted with its ATH for most of the weekendâŚ
+ The three most talked about stocks on WallStreetBets in the past 24 hours were: 1) Nvidia -5.5% 2) C3.ai -0.2% 3) TSMC -1.9%

The market moves you need to know aboutâŚ
+ Macyâs jumped 3.9% on Friday. Spoiler: it wasnât because brick-and-mortar retail suddenly became sexy. Rumor has it that the department store has begun negotiating directly with the two hedge funds interested in taking it private. Oh, and it sounds like theyâre willing to increase their offerâŚ
+ Carvana rose 7.3% after RBC threw in the towel. The bank admitted defeat and said itâs run out of reasons to be bearish on the company that blessed the human race with the car vending machine.
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Goodnight, sweet prince

(Source: Giphy)
It appears that offering deep discounts on an already low-margin product that was only ever popular because of a global pandemic is a recipe for disasterâŚ
There are only two reasons publicly traded companies drop their earnings reports early: 1) they are Cava, and they inexplicably allow their earnings to leak 2) they are trying to get out in front of an absolutely dogsh*t quarterâŚ
HelloFresh doesnât drop earnings until Friday, but it wanted to make sure everyone set expectations low. It warned that its 2023 EBITDA would come in at ~448M euros, which is a move in the wrong direction compared to 2022âs 470M euros.
Ok, but surely HelloFresh will stop the bleeding in 2024⌠right? Right?!
Not exactly. The meal delivery kit company that put the entire podcast ecosystem on its back along with Blue Apron in the 2010s shared some abysmal guidance. It appears they just decided to pull the Band-Aid.
EBITDA for this year is expected to drop even further, to between 350M and 400M euros. Thatâs even more concerning considering the company said it expects sales to grow in 2024.
Why tho?
Youâre not going to believe this, but the company that will give you 16 free meals in exchange for a valid email address said its marketing costs will eat into earnings.
Tylerâs take⌠This should come as a shock to literally no one. HelloFresh might be the only company hoping for another pandemic more than Zoom. Shares were trading at ~$90 in late 2021. On Friday, the stock was changing hands for less than $7.

+ Hiring managers âspend 25 times longer on your LinkedInâ than your resume, says ex-Amazon recruiterâhow to impress them (Read)
+ Average Gen Z understands less than 50 percent of the tax filling process (Read)
~ ICYMI... Mark Cuban looks for 2 qualities in employees: âIf they fail on either one, youâre going to be in troubleâ (Read)
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+ Look what you did you little jerkâŚ
How do you sleep at night, health care hiring managers? Creating 67k new jobs in February just put a hurting on my 4-figure brokerage accountâŚ
Fridayâs job report came in hotter than expected, led by (you guessed it) a spike in healthcare jobs. Non-farm payrolls topped 275k, well above the Streetâs consensus of 198k.
But it wasnât all bad news. The unemployment rate topped expectations at 3.9%. Economists were predicting 3.7%.
Oh, and in case you ever wondered, âis this data all just kinda bullsh*t anyway?â⌠the answer is probably âyes.â
You see, Januaryâs initial +353k jobs number was revised down to 229k. And Decemberâs +333k jobs were more like 290k. So, by my estimation, Februaryâs number is going to end up being ~200kâŚ
As an added bonus, one of the most closely watched inflation indicators looked good. Wages rose just 0.1% month over month, which was below estimates. The year-over-year figure (4.3%) also came in lower than consensus.
Tylerâs take⌠A bit of a head-scratcher of a jobs report. Markets didnât like it a whole lot, but if recent months have been any indication, Februaryâs job growth will actually be a whole lot lower. If thatâs the case, youâre actually looking at some pretty positive data (purely from a stonk investorâs perspective).
+ Fat-shaming is no longer Wegovyâs only marketing angleâŚ
On Friday, the FDA approved a label change for Wegovy that will allow Novo Nordisk to tout its ability to reduce the risk of heart attack, stroke, and heart-related deaths. And listen, Iâm no doctor (but I did smoke pot with Johnny Hopkins and Sloane Kettering), but losing weight and improving heart health checks out.
But thereâs a much bigger motive for Novo to push this through than eradicating heart disease. Insurers have balked at high-priced weight loss drugs and in some cases have halted coverage. And Medicare doesnât cover any drug that only assists with weight loss.
The heart health approval could open up the floodgates (even more).
+ In the least surprising news of the day, Sam Altman has rejoined OpenAIâs board, and all is right in the world. An independent investigation found that Samâs conduct didnât mandate removal back in the Fall. You almost feel bad for the poor b*stards who tried to oust SamâŚ

Here's what I'm keeping an eye on today...
+ Oracle, Casey's General Stores, and Asana report. And how has no one created a redneck ETF (ticker: NECK) that includes Caseyâs, Tractor Supply, and Cracker Barrel?
+ Sports gambling goes live in North Carolina, you degens

Yesterday I asked âAre you tuning in to the Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight on Netflix?â
62.1% of you said âhell yesâ or âif thereâs nothing else onâ (which Iâll consider a yes).
Hereâs todayâs questionâŚ
Listen, I like to shame Gen Z as much as the next millennial, but this study thatâs trying to paint Gen Z as morons because they understand less than 50% of the tax filing process is kinda bullsh*t. Mostly because I understand wayyy less than 50%. SoâŚ
Is doing taxes the worst part of being an adult? |
Oh, and two more thingsâŚ
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