šŸ’¦ New challenger approaching

And Pinterest gets rekt

Hey there weekday warriors,

(Better late than never, I guess? The intern forgot to hit send this AM. Have no fear, he will be publicly shamedā€¦)

You might have bought a $17 salad yesterday, but at least you didnā€™t spend $450k to go to space on a rocket ship thatā€™s about as safe as the Titan submarine.

Hereā€™s what else weā€™re getting into todayā€¦

  • Google unveils new (but old) AI chatbot

  • Pinterest gets crushed

  • Turnover at Expedia

Enjoy the next 4 minutes and 11 seconds of blue-chip news and commentary.

Keep on snapping necks and cashing checks,

+ US stocks ā€œheld steady on Thursday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average narrowly reaching record highs as investors cheered Disney's upbeat earnings report and digested other corporate results.ā€ (Yahoo! Finance)

+ The 10-year Treasury yield ā€œrose Thursday as investors assessed robust jobs data and recent remarks from Federal Reserve officials that dashed hopes for a March rate cut." (CNBC)

+ Oil prices ā€œsurged to settle higher on Thursday as Israel rejected an Hamas proposed ceasefire, reigniting fears of widening conflict in the Middle East just as the U.S. continued its retaliatory strikes and Houthi rebels launched fresh attacks in the Red Sea.ā€ (Reuters)

+ Bitcoin ā€œsurpassed $45,000, reaching the price level for the first time since Jan. 12 after rallying 6% in two days. This movement coincided with the S&P 500 reaching a record high.ā€ (Cointelegraph)

+ The three most talked about stocks on WallStreetBets in the past 24 hours were: 1) Nvidia -0.65% 2) Arm +47.89% (not a typo) 3) Affirm +10.33%

The market moves you need to know aboutā€¦

+ Itā€™s Taylor Swiftā€™s world, and weā€™re just living in it. Shares of Ralph Lauren jumped 16.7% following a big earnings beatā€¦ thanks in part to T-Swift. Travis Kelceā€™s girlfriendā€™s decision to wear Ralph Lauren on the cover of TIME for her Person of the Year shoot helped boost sales in the quarter.

ā€“ 23andMe fell 13.0% to 63 cents after reporting a train wreck of a quarter and floating the idea of splitting itself into two companiesā€¦ as part of some sad attempt to avoid the inevitable (read: bankruptcy).

+ Cloudflare mooned 23.9% after hours following an easy earnings beat and offering some business updates that had investors fully bricked up.

+ Herbalife out here getting its pick and shovel on. The stock rose 6.2% on news that it would create nutrition products tailored towards GLP-1 (read: Ozempic) users. No one tell Bill Ackmanā€¦

New challenger approaching!

(Source: Giphy)

Tell me youā€™re afraid your product is about to go the way of Google+ without actually telling meā€¦

Google just relaunched its AI chatbot Bard with a fresh name and brand. Meet Gemini (sidenote: the Winklevoss twins must be salivating, knowing that they get to sue another group of nerds).

The AI chatbot formerly known as Bard rolled out a new app and a paid version called Gemini Ultra 1.0. Listen, I hate to be that guy, but OpenAI is on ChatGPT 4ā€¦

Notably missing from the rollout: direct integration into search. You had one job, Sundar.

So, why the name change?

Well, according to Google, itā€™s because the company wants users to know that the chatbot is directly tied to Googleā€™s Gemini large language modelā€¦ because some dude whoā€™s asking a chatbot to write Family Guy erotica really gives a sh*t about whatā€™s powering his spank bank.

It might have something to do with Bardā€™s early stumbles (not to mention its stupid name). During its rushed launch event (spoiler: ChatGPT was eating Googleā€™s lunch) Bard answered a question incorrectly in real time. And it didnā€™t exactly get a ton of traction compared to ChatGPT.

How bad did things get? Google founder Sergey Brin came out of retirement (which was probably pretty awesome, besides being cucked by Elonā€¦ allegedly) to save face at Google.

The big pictureā€¦ To be clear, Google isnā€™t ā€œlosingā€ the AI race. Itā€™s been working on generative artificial intelligence since before Sam Altman had pubes (early 2000s). But itā€™s run into issues with rolling out its consumer-facing productsā€¦ thanks, in part, to ethical standards. So, it wouldnā€™t be totally surprising to see Google ā€œcatch upā€ to ChatGPT. And fast.

STB

+ Founder of $1 billion startup says mom gave her $5,000 after college, then cut her off: ā€˜It forced me to start hustlingā€™ (Read)

+ The No. 1 resume mistake according to ex-Amazon recruiter: You see it ā€˜all the way up to the C-suiteā€™ (Read)

+ Solomonā€™s Paradox is probably holding you back (Read)

~ ICYMI... Early retiree who earned $380,000 in passive income last year: Your ā€˜best optionā€™ for making money while you sleep (Read)

TS

+ Bad week to be a store-brand social media platformā€¦

A day after markets laid waste to Snap (-2.7%), Pinterest (-9.2% after hours) was taken out back and summarily executed.

Pinterestā€™s earnings report read like a call for help. Revenue missed analyst expectations. And even though top-line growth (12%) wasnā€™t as pathetic as Snapā€™s (5%), investors were not impressed. A Q1 revenue outlook that came in below the Streetā€™s expectations probably didnā€™t do it any favors, either.

The only saving grace? PINS announced a deal with Google similar to the one it recently inked with Amazon. Read: Google will serve ads directly on Pinterest. Shares rebounded on the news after being down as much as 20% in the extended session.

WTF does it mean? Ok, so youā€™re telling me that Pinterest will be the direct beneficiary of two of the biggest ad businesses in the world (it would need to land Meta to complete the Triple Crown), without a whole lot of incremental cost, but investors are treating it like its Friendster? Ok. Got it.

+ I will die on the hill that there has to be no better feeling for a CEO than shares plummeting after they announce they are stepping down (almost good enough to offset the sting of massive paper losses)ā€¦

So Expediaā€™s (-13.0% after hours) Peter Kern must have felt really good about himself. Shares of Expedia fell 13% after he announced heā€™d be stepping away immediately. The current head of the B2B biz Ariane Gorin will take over. Of course, the stock could have tumbled because Kern failed to give a real reason for his departure. Or perhaps it was the gross bookings miss and soft outlook.

The big pictureā€¦ Hard to tell if the miss on gross bookings and room night growth says more about the travel sector or Expediaā€™s failure to capitalize on the post-lockdown travel boom. Airbnb doesnā€™t seem to have similar growth problemsā€¦

+ Honestly, a door plug blowing out at 30k feet would be so much more bearable if there was free in-flight Wi-Fi. Hawaiian Airlines (+0.1%) is partnering with SpaceX Starlink to roll out free Wi-Fi on all its flights. Itā€™s Starlinkā€™s first major deal with a major US airline. (Read)

FWD

Here's what I'm keeping an eye on today...

+ Pepsi and Newell Brands report

+ Super Bowl weekend could be yuge for sports gambling companies

My prediction of tomorrowā€™s TWC headlines, todayā€¦

~ Crystal ballinā€™ā€¦ ā€œAB InBev is Super Bowlā€™s big winnerā€ (timeline: next month)

Honestly, AB InBev (aka Bud Light) doesnā€™t have much of a choice but to bring its A-game to the Super Bowl to jumpstart sales.

EXIT

Hereā€™s todayā€™s question (again)ā€¦

Why do you love The Water Coolest?

Ok, Iā€™m asking partially because I need some testimonials for a new website build-out. But mostly because I need the validation. Reply directly to this email. Thanks in advance.

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FINE

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